NiMet predicts sustained rainfall, surge in malaria in the South, meningitis in the North

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Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), has predicted increased rainfall and humidity levels, warning that this could lead to a surge in malaria cases across Southern Nigeria.

The agency In its April weather outlook issues on Friday, cautioned that the Southern Region would experience sustained rainfall, with coastal and inland areas expected to record between 120mm and 240mm during the month.

“April marks a full transition into the rainy season across southern Nigeria, with increasing rainfall, rising humidity, and more organised thunderstorms extending into central regions,” the agency stated.

NiMet observed that the prevailing wet and humid conditions create a favourable environment for mosquito breeding, heightening the risk of malaria transmission.

It, therefore, cautioned residents and health authorities to intensify preventive measures.

The agency also projected high temperatures nationwide, with daytime values ranging between 30°C and 41°C, while parts of northern Nigeria may record extreme temperatures of up to 43°C.

It added that warm nights and increased humidity would worsen thermal discomfort across many parts of the country, including the Federal Capital Territory.

While rainfall will dominate the South, Central states are expected to witness more frequent thunderstorms, signalling a gradual spread of wet-season conditions. Northern areas, on the other hand, may begin to experience isolated rainfall later in the month.

NiMet further expects dust haze to persist in parts of the North at the beginning of April, but would gradually subside as moisture influx increases.

On public health, the agency advised heightened vigilance against malaria in the South and meningitis in the North, warning that the combination of heat and humidity could worsen health outcomes if preventive steps are not taken.

It recommended that residents stay hydrated, avoid prolonged exposure to sunlight during peak hours, and adopt protective measures against mosquito bites.

For the agricultural sector, NiMet said planting activities are already underway in the South, while farmers in the central region should wait for more consistent rainfall before full-scale planting. Northern farmers were advised to continue land preparation and irrigation.

Furthermore, the agency cautioned that thunderstorms could disrupt air and road travel, while early-month dust haze in the North may reduce visibility.

It also highlighted environmental risks, including possible flooding in southern urban centres due to increased rainfall and the lingering threat of bushfires in drier northern areas.

Overall, NiMet said April would be characterised by a mix of heat and expanding rainfall nationwide, marking a steady progression into the peak rainy season.

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